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Original-Research: THE NAGA GROUP AG - from NuWays AG

19.09.2024 / 09:00 CET/CEST

Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS

Group AG.

The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The

result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an

invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.

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Classification of NuWays AG to THE NAGA GROUP AG

Company Name: THE NAGA GROUP AG

ISIN: DE000A161NR7

Reason for the research: Update

Recommendation: BUY

from: 19.09.2024

Target price: EUR 1.20

Last rating change:

Analyst: Frederik Jarchow

Partnership with BVB to increase reach

Topic: NAGA recently entered into a sponsoring partnership with Borussia

Dortmund for the current and upcoming Bundesliga season. In detail:

Having entered into this cooperation, NAGA is now one of the official

partner of BVB. With that, NAGA received exclusive rights to use the team's

BVB partner logo on multiple markets, and the rights to use club players'

image in branding materials. Additionally, NAGA's brand will be present on

the LED advertising boards at home matches on Borussia's stadium Signal

Iduna Park. With that, NAGA intends to power-up its brand awareness in

Germany, which is it most important core market and attract new target

groups. As BVB is also playing Champions League, the cooperation should

additionally increase brand awareness in other important global regions.

In our view, this is a sensible sponsoring partnership as BVB has not only a

huge global fan community but is also enjoying high sympathy ratings from

fans of other clubs. The price per year is expected to be rather moderate

with below EUR 1m (eNuW) and should be already considered in the marketing

budget for this and next year.

In a bigger picture, the cooperation with BVB is just another piece that is

paving the way towards the vision for 2026 of USD 250m in sales and 40%

EBITDA. While we consider this vision as rather optimistic, the past has

already shown that an incremental positive change in the sentiment could

have an enormous effect on the P&L of NAGA. The leverage of the joint Group

could even scale this effect. Still, in our base case scenario we

conservatively only anticipating EUR 90m in sales and an EBITDA of EUR 19m (22%

EBITDA margin), leaving room for positive surprises. Looking into 2024,

estimated 15.9m transactions on the back of a slowly revitalizing retail

brokerage space should lift sales to EUR 71.8m, assuming an avg revenue per

trade of EUR 5.0. Synergy effects and ongoing disciplined spending are

expected to additionally drive EBITDA that we see at EUR 11.5m.

Overall, the revitalization of customer activity in the brokerage space,

paired with cross-selling and synergy effects arising from the merger should

fuel NAGAŽs growth. Details on the growth plan will be presented during our

roundtable, today at 10am CEST.

BUY with an unchanged PT of EUR 1.20 based on DCF

You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/30819.pdf

For additional information visit our website: www.nuways-ag.com/research

Contact for questions:

NuWays AG - Equity Research

Web: www.nuways-ag.com

Email: research@nuways-ag.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag

Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany

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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss

bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben

analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.

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1991057 19.09.2024 CET/CEST

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