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Original-Research: bet-at-home AG - from NuWays AG

Classification of NuWays AG to bet-at-home AG

Company Name: bet-at-home AG

ISIN: DE000A0DNAY5

Reason for the research: Update

Recommendation: Halten

from: 16.05.2024

Target price: EUR 5.50

Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten

Last rating change:

Analyst: Frederik Jarchow

Solid Q1 // indicative decision weighs on the stock; chg

Topic: bet-at-home reported Q1 figures broadly in line with estimates.

Ramped-up marketing spending burdened bottom line but should fuel topline

growth during UEFA EURO championship in Q2/Q3. In detail:

Sales came in at EUR 11.7m (-12% yoy, 1% qoq), slightly above our estimates

of EUR 11.5m, driven by the Betting GGR of EUR 10.6m (-13% yoy, 2% qoq vs eNuW:

EUR 10.6m) and Gaming GGR that stood at EUR 1.1m (4% yoy, -15% qoq vs eNuW: EUR

0.9m). While gaming volume and gaming margin were higher than expected (EUR

11.1m vs eNuW: 10.4m and 9.8% vs eNuW: 8.4%), betting volume and margin

were fully in line with estimates.

EBITDA of EUR 0.7m (-58% yoy; -13% qoq) was broadly in line (eNuW: EUR 0.8m).

Lower than anticipated other operating expenses (EUR 2.6m vs eNuW: EUR 3.0m)

compensated for higher marketing spending (EUR 4.5m vs eNuW: EUR 4.1m), while

personnel expenses remained rather stable, as anticipated. Undiluted

operating performance measured with EBITDA before special items (i.e.

non-operating costs in connection with customer claims and the liquidation

of the Entertainment) came in at EUR 0.2m (vs EUR 2.5m in Q1Ž23).

Overall, the figures indicate a solid start into the year. Ramped-up

marketing spending pave the way for strong growth of betting volumes during

the UEFA EURO championship in Q2/Q3, resulting in ramped-up topline

(assuming stable betting margins). As we expect marketing spending to

remain high throughout Q2, scale effects - also carried by taken efficiency

measures, such as outsourcing and streamlining of processes - should not

materialize before Q3. Taking all that into account, FY24 sales should end

up at EUR 49.8m and FY24 EBITDA at EUR 1.4m, both in line with the guidance

range of EUR 45-53m sales and -1m to EUR 2.5m EBITDA before special items.

While the risks associated with the liquidation process of the

Entertainment Ltd. and provisions for current and potential new customer

claims in Austria seem to be largely under control, the new uncertainty

arising from the indicative decision of The Federal Court of Justice should

burden the stock for at least the next six months (eNuW), despite a

sustainably profitable operating business and a negative EV.

We hence reiterate HOLD with an unchanged PT to EUR 5.50 based on FCFYŽ24e.

You can download the research here:

http://www.more-ir.de/d/29773.pdf

For additional information visit our website

www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Contact for questions

NuWays AG - Equity Research

Web: www.nuways-ag.com

Email: research@nuways-ag.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag

Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany

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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.

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The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research.

The result of this research does not constitute investment advice

or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.

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