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Original-Research: bet-at-home.com AG - von NuWays AG

Einstufung von NuWays AG zu bet-at-home.com AG

Unternehmen: bet-at-home.com AG

ISIN: DE000A0DNAY5

Anlass der Studie: Update

Empfehlung: HOLD

seit: 15.01.2024

Kursziel: 3.80

Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten

Letzte Ratingänderung:

Analyst: Frederik Jarchow

Outlook for 2024: A promising bet

After two transition years that were characterized by risks associated with

the liquidation of the Entertainment Ldt. as well as customer claims in

Austria and Germany on the one hand and restructuring and stabilizing the

remaining business on the other hand, we see good chances that we have seen

the trough in the stock. Here is why:

Risk associated with the liquidation and customer claims are under control.

The first claims that have been settled within the second half of 2024 in

Austria can be seen as an indicator for the remaining claims, which is why

we do not expect further provisions here. The claims in Germany (23 in sum)

are more difficult to anticipate. Still, the total value in dispute is only

EUR 1.9m.

Topline growth ahead. After the seasonally weaker Q2 and Q3, we expect a

stronger Q4 topline (eNuW: EUR 12.9m), especially driven by the betting

segment. Lower betting margins (eNuW: 10.5%) should have been

overcompensated by higher betting volumes (eNuW: EUR 123m). Further, higher

marketing spending in Q3 (eNuW: EUR 6.2m with lead-times of 3-6 months)

should have already started to materialize, thus supporting top-line

development from Q4Ž23e onwards. On top, the upcoming EURO 2024 is expected

to fuel sales in Q2 and Q3Ž24. Overall we expect sales of EUR 47.4m in FY23

and EUR 49.8m in FY24.

Improving profitability. On the back of risks that are largely under

control, improving topline, the full positive effect of headcount reduction

in 2023 and the successful outsourcing and streamlining of operations, we

expect bet-at-home to double EBITDA to EUR 1.5m in FY24.

Favorable macroeconomic trends. Long-term trends such as the shift towards

online, the increasing acceptance of betting and gambling and the dry out

of the black market in Germany, as a result of the GlüStV are clear growth

drivers. Even better, betting and gambling revenues are rather independent

from general consumption that is currently under pressure.

For now, we remain cautious, but as soon as the abovementioned trends start

to materialize and the risks vanish further, we are set to reevaluate or

position on the stock again.

HOLD with an unchanged, PT of EUR 3.80 based on FCFYŽ23e.

Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:

http://www.more-ir.de/d/28657.pdf

Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden

www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Kontakt für Rückfragen

NuWays AG - Equity Research

Web: www.nuways-ag.com

Email: research@nuways-ag.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag

Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany

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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.

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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------

Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.

Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung

oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

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