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Original-Research: MAX Automation SE - von NuWays AG

Einstufung von NuWays AG zu MAX Automation SE

Unternehmen: MAX Automation SE

ISIN: DE000A2DA588

Anlass der Studie: Q3 Review

Empfehlung: BUY

seit: 10.11.2023

Kursziel: EUR 7,30

Kursziel auf Sicht von: 12 Monaten

Letzte Ratingänderung:

Analyst: Konstantin Völk

Fully on track despite mixed Q3; chg. est.

MAX delivered mixed results for Q3 2023, with sound top-line growth but

pressure on margins. Q3 group sales rose slightly by 1.4% yoy to EUR 109.1m

(Q3 2022: EUR 107.6m) while Q3 EBITDA fell sharply by 35% yoy to EUR 9.6m (Q3

2022: EUR 14.8m). Hence, the EBITDA margin declined by 4.9pp yoy to 8.8%.

However, Q3 2022 was an extraordinarily strong quarter and compared to the

FY 2022 EBITDA margin, the current Q3 margin is still 0.6pp higher. The

postponement of some larger orders was the main reason for the margin

decrease, while also burdening top-line growth. In detail:

bdtronic grew sales by 48% yoy to EUR 26.0m along with a slight EBITDA margin

improvement by 0.2pp to a solid 14.4%. Driven by the strong top-line

growth, EBITDA rose by 50% yoy to EUR 3.7m. This result was carried by strong

demand for bdtronics' dispensing and trickle impregnation technology, used

for the impregnation of electric motors in e-vehicles.

Vecoplan's revenues fell by 1.8% yoy to EUR 46.2m, caused by the Recycling /

Waste and Wood / Biomass division, which continued to fall short of

expectations due to the ongoing reluctance of customers to invest. EBITDA

fell by 14.5% yoy to EUR 5.7m, with a margin of 12.5% (Q3 2022: 14.3%).

Amongst the other subsidiaries, AIM micro stood out positively: sales

increased by c. 23% yoy to EUR 1.6m while EBITDA rose disproportionately by

34% up to EUR 0.7m, due to economies of scale.

Q3 group order intake fell by c. 31% yoy to EUR 78m, with the book-to-bill in

the third quarter arriving at only 0.72x, which reflects a more cautious

customer base across almost all subsidiaries. Order intake was particularly

soft for Vecoplan (-23% yoy to EUR 38.3m), NSM + Jücker (-61% yoy to EUR 6.9m)

and Elwema (-69% yoy to EUR 5.1m), reflecting macro uncertainties and order

postponements. Order backlog of the continuing operations fell by c. 12% to

EUR 267m.

MAX confirmed its FY23e guidance of EUR 410m to EUR 470m sales (eNuw: EUR 444m)

and EUR 38m to EUR 44m EBITDA (eNuW: EUR 43.9m). This appears sensible, in our

view, as it implies a flat yoy topline development and a 3.5% margin in Q4

2023 at mid-point. The due diligence for a potential divestment of MA micro

is still ongoing. A successful transaction would uncover hidden value and

thus serve as a major share price catalyst, in our view. Reiterate BUY with

a new PT of EUR 7.30 (old: EUR 7.40) based on DCF.

Die vollständige Analyse können Sie hier downloaden:

http://www.more-ir.de/d/28227.pdf

Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden

www.nuways-ag.com/research.

Kontakt für Rückfragen

NuWays AG - Equity Research

Web: www.nuways-ag.com

Email: research@nuways-ag.com

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag

Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany

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Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse.

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-------------------übermittelt durch die EQS Group AG.-------------------

Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung bzw. Research ist alleine der Herausgeber bzw.

Ersteller der Studie verantwortlich. Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung

oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte.

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