OTL nach dem RS 1:20 WKN: A4046T ISIN: US69012T3059 Kürzel: OTLK Forum: Aktien User: Pinoy80
Also wenn ich sofort erneut poste, könnte mich das System gänzlich sperren, Spamverdacht u.s.w. Ist jemand bei Reddit und könnte die neue Version bei Reddit USA posten ? : Financial Analysis on Outlook Therapeutics ($OTLK): Why Dilution Concerns Might Be Overstated : The recent market reaction surrounding Outlook Therapeutics ($OTLK) regarding the potential authorization of 340 million new shares and a Reverse Split (RS) seems exaggerated when looking closely at the actual financials and timeline.Here is a realistic breakdown of the math:The Science is Settled: The OND has granted the appeal, confirming Norse TWO and Norse EIGHT prove efficacy for LYTENAVA. The regulatory risk is drastically reduced as we head into the 60-day Class 1 Resubmission cycle.Existing Shares are Sufficient: People often overlook that management already has 43 million shares available. If the stock reaches a post-approval price between $1.00 and $2.00, utilizing these existing shares alone could generate between $43M and $86M. This is more than enough to completely fund the initial commercial rollout.Controlled Placement & Minor Dips: Instead of a massive crash, a piece-by-piece placement of these 43 million shares into a rising market would only cause a minor, healthy dip in the share price (for example, a temporary drop from $2.00 down to $1.80). This minor fluctuation is a completely normal market reaction, but it fully finances the commercial rollout without destroying shareholder value.No Immediate Need for 340M Shares: With $5M from the recent direct offering and $18.4M in unsecured credit lines, the company has enough runway to reach the finish line. Massive immediate dilution makes zero sense mathematically when the stock is at $0.80. The 340M request serves as a long-term financial safety net, not an immediate threat to shareholders.Conclusion: The current fundamentals remain very strong, and the math indicates that fears of near-term dilution are mathematically illogical.
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