SERNOVA Forum: Community User: COLOGNE79
Damit die Leute das hier auch verstehen, 5 CAD = 3,75 Euro jetzt und nicht erst 2026/2029 oder 2030!! Endchance 50:50!! A phase III trial in 30 patients may take up to three years with ample follow up. A subsequent launch would occur in 2026. Conformal coated iPSCs places in a Cell Pouch might begin commercialization in 2029. The probability of success of the latter is assumed to be 50%. During the initial phase of commercialization, given limited supply of cadaveric islet cells, we anticipate a rather shallow market penetration with less than 300 patients treated in total, which is expected to generate $50-$100 million. We expect market penetration/adoption to increase substantially with the arrival of iPSC-derived ß-cells. Rememebr this is a brand new therapeutic modality. Therefore, market adoption, payer coverage, etc. are highly speculative. For the second phase of commercialization, we anticipate a prolonged ramp of increases in annual sales, leading to a peak sales figure of approximately $6.5 billion and peak patient adoption of approximately 18,000 patients per year by 2035-36. Our estimates for the Cell Pouch that contains iPSC-derived ß-cells include opportunity in the pediatric diabetic population, who are newly diagnosed with T1D at an early age. See our model for additional details.
Damit die Leute das hier auch verstehen, 5 CAD = 3,75 Euro jetzt und nicht erst 2026/2029 oder 2030!! Endchance 50:50!! A phase III trial in 30 patients may take up to three years with ample follow up. A subsequent launch would occur in 2026. Conformal coated iPSCs places in a Cell Pouch might begin commercialization in 2029. The probability of success of the latter is assumed to be 50%. During the initial phase of commercialization, given limited supply of cadaveric islet cells, we anticipate a rather shallow market penetration with less than 300 patients treated in total, which is expected to generate $50-$100 million. We expect market penetration/adoption to increase substantially with the arrival of iPSC-derived ß-cells. Rememebr this is a brand new therapeutic modality. Therefore, market adoption, payer coverage, etc. are highly speculative. For the second phase of commercialization, we anticipate a prolonged ramp of increases in annual sales, leading to a peak sales figure of approximately $6.5 billion and peak patient adoption of approximately 18,000 patients per year by 2035-36. Our estimates for the Cell Pouch that contains iPSC-derived ß-cells include opportunity in the pediatric diabetic population, who are newly diagnosed with T1D at an early age. See our model for additional details.
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