US 30 WKN: CG3AA2 ISIN: US2605661048 Forum: Indizes Thema: Hauptdiskussion

Treasury yields' wrecking-ball surge gets fresh fuel..Cboe Volatility Index .VIX - an options-based gauge of investors' expectation for near-term stock market gyrations - on Friday approached a five-month high ...MORE TIGHTENING? Fed funds futures traders on Friday added to bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates before the end of the year, and keep them elevated for longer next year. https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/treasury-yields-wrecking-ball-surge-gets-fresh-fuel-after-blowout-jobs-report-0

Technische Analyse : Keine gute Perspektive für den Dow Jones. Alarmglocken schrillen https://www.faz.net/aktuell/finanzen/keine-gute-perspektive-fuer-den-dow-jones-19221718.html

Fed Balance Sheet Quantitative tightening (QT): -$1.0 Trillion from Peak, to $7.96 Trillion, Lowest since June 2021. In September Alone -$146 billion https://wolfstreet.com/2023/10/05/fed-balance-sheet-qt-down-1-0-trillion-from-peak-to-7-96-trillion-lowest-since-june-2021-in-september-alone-146-billion/

ECB Balance Sheet Quantitative tightening (QT): -€1.77 Trillion from Peak, now down to €7.07 Trillion. Shed 43% of Pandemic QE Assets https://wolfstreet.com/2023/10/05/ecb-balance-sheet-qt-e1-77-trillion-from-peak-now-down-to-e7-07-trillion-shed-43-of-pandemic-qe-assets/

BofA: Buckle up for 1980s-style housing recession. Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ https://fortune.com/2023/10/06/home-price-outlook-bank-of-america-housing-recession-turbulence-1980s-not-2008/

Es gibt sie, diese Wochenenden an denen man schnell handelt und erst dann frägt: TradeEcho Off-book Blocktrades

Zentralbanken ratlos – Patentlösung ist nicht in Sicht https://de.investing.com/analysis/comics/central_banks_face_lingering_issues_after_latest_rate_decisions-706

mach mal ne pause johnny. es ist wochenende

WTO Forecasts Global Trade Slowdown Amid Economic Headwinds: WTO projects the merchandise trade volume in 2023 to rise only by 0.8% from the previous year, a steep drop from the previously forecasted 1.7%. https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/WTO-Forecasts-Global-Trade-Slowdown-Amid-Economic-Headwinds.html

Appreciate financial history "With a Proposal for Supplying the Nation with Money": A crisis occurs every time Fed Funds have risen abruptly. A Crisis Is Coming: Who Is Swimming Naked? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crisis-is-coming-who-is-swimming-naked/

U.S. recessions in the past have often been preceded by inverted yield curves, a significant indicator closely monitored by economists and analysts to assess the state of economy. Percent of 10-Year Yield Curves Inverted https://www.isabelnet.com/percent-of-10-yield-curves-inverted/

Follow the money: The most recent COT report currently shows a record number of short positions against Treasury bonds. https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/10-Year-Tresury-Net-Short-Positioning.jpg

Haircut: US takes scissors to repos. Stateside banks fear disadvantage over haircut rules https://www.risk.net/regulation/7957742/us-takes-scissors-to-repos-in-europe-its-not-cut-and-dried

The Margin Call Moment: World Now Facing Up To $70 Trillion In Global Losses https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/margin-call-moment-70-trillion-global-losses

Zeit für den Margin Call: How repo roll risk could spoil US Treasury basis trade: The financing leg of the surging US Treasury basis trade could prove to be its most vulnerable point, with leveraged investors increasingly using overnight rather than term repo to fund the cash portion of the arbitrage. https://www.risk.net/derivatives/7957877/how-repo-roll-risk-could-spoil-us-treasury-basis-trade

"China economists cut growth forecast to 5% amid property woes. Weak sentiment and real estate crisis continue to weigh on GDP." https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/China-economists-cut-growth-forecast-to-5-amid-property-woes