DOW JONES WKN: CG3AA2 ISIN: US2605661048 Forum: Indizes Thema: Hauptdiskussion

Some of the 49 Small Banks Heavily Exposed to Bad Multifamily CRE Loans May Topple https://wolfstreet.com/2024/02/19/49-small-banks-are-heavily-exposed-to-bad-multifamily-cre-loans-some-may-topple-but-their-small-size-limits-contagion-fitch/

Bei welchen Aktien seid ihr zu mindestens 40% im Minus und würdet diese Aktien nach wie vor halten, weil ihr langfristig an diese Aktie glaubt?

At some US regionals, CRE loans eclipse tangible equity by up to 7x Valley National, NYCB and First Foundation the most levered in a sample of 30 banks https://www.risk.net/risk-quantum/7959012/at-some-us-regionals-cre-loans-eclipse-tangible-equity-by-up-to-7x

Interessiert niemanden, bis es dann plötzlich alle interessiert. Die uneinbringlichen Immobilienschulden übersteigen bereits die Reserven der größten US-Banken. https://www.ft.com/content/4114454c-a924-4929-85f4-5360b2b871c6

Interessiert vorerst mal keinen. KI regelt grad alles 😆 bin auch mal gespannt, ob es Auswirkungen haben wird oder mal wieder eher positiv aufgefasst wird so wie’s die letzten Wochen ist. Im Vordergrund stehen momentan Zinssenkung und KI des übertrumpft alles und alles andere wird ausgeblendet.

Die Banken und Immobilienkrise ist mit voller Wucht wieder da https://www.conference-board.org/research/ced-policy-backgrounders/commercial-real-estate-concerns-and-forthcoming-bank-regulations

Red Sea crisis escalation: US-UK airstrikes, Houthis’ vessel attacks, spike in oil prices, and tanker trade slowdown https://www.offshore-energy.biz/red-sea-crisis-escalation-us-uk-airstrikes-houthis-vessel-attacks-spike-in-oil-prices-and-tanker-trade-slowdown/

@johnlaw vielen Dank für deine stetigen Posts. Komm doch gerne ins „das neue dax Prognose Forum“ hier freuen wir uns wenn jemand über US Indizes Informationen teilt :) Liebe Grüße

World Container Index increased by 15% to $3,072 per 40ft container. https://www.drewry.co.uk/supply-chain-advisors/supply-chain-expertise/world-container-index-assessed-by-drewry

Extreme Temperaturen schaden den Haushaltsfinanzen: Extreme Temperaturen können in Haushalten mit mittlerem und niedrigem Einkommen zu finanzieller Instabilität führen https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banks/financial-market-infrastructure/7960604/extreme-temperature-harms-household-finances-warns-paper

Arktische Kältewelle lässt Strompreise in den USA explodieren https://www.agrarheute.com/management/agribusiness/arktische-kaeltewelle-laesst-strompreise-usa-explodieren-615264

Office CRE Gets Even Messier https://wolfstreet.com/2024/01/14/office-cre-mess-aftermath-of-the-war-for-space/

Fed Reports Operating Loss of $114 billion for 2023, as Interest Expense Blows Out. On top of whatever unrealized losses (cumulative $1.3 trillion at end of Q3) from its securities holdings. https://wolfstreet.com/2024/01/12/fed-reports-operating-loss-of-114-billion-for-2023-as-interest-expense-blows-out/

Fitch: Leveraged finance default rates increased in 2023 in Europe and the US and will continue to rise in 2024 due to high interest cost burdens and macroeconomic pressures, Fitch Ratings says. Both the European and US leveraged finance sector outlooks remain deteriorating. Fitch forecasts 2024 default rates of 3.5%–4.0% for US leveraged loans, and 5.0%–5.5% for US high-yield bonds. This is above our 2023 estimations of 3.0%–3.5% for loans and bonds, and reflects the negative implications of a sharp slowdown in US economic growth in 2024, sustained contraction of capital market funding and the pressure that higher-for-longer interest rates will exert on speculative-grade issuers. https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/european-us-levfin-default-rates-will-continue-to-rise-in-2024-08-01-2024

Fitch: Credit Outlook 2024 - Global Home Price Growth to Slow Amid High Rates https://www.fitchratings.com/videos/credit-outlook-2024-global-home-price-growth-to-slow-amid-high-rates-04-01-2024

Red Sea: Major short-term capacity impact: On Asia-North Europe, the impact is quite visible, due to a combination of some services being held back in departure from Asia in the short-term awaiting re-routing, and some services clearly arriving late into Asia, thereby causing a rapid shortfall in the middle weeks of January, with a steep capacity drop now expected for the week of January 22nd. A similar trend is seen on both Asia-Mediterranean and Asia-North America East Coast, but a week earlier. https://www.sea-intelligence.com/images/press_docs/ss646/20240109_-_Sea-Intelligence_Sunday_Spotlight_646_Press_Release.pdf