Novavax WKN: A2PKMZ ISIN: US6700024010 Kürzel: NVAX Forum: Aktien Thema: Hauptdiskussion
If mRNA vaccines (such as those from Pfizer and Moderna) were banned, and only Novavax remained with its COVID and combination vaccine (COVID + flu), the market landscape would change dramatically. Market Situation: The global population is around 8 billion. Even if only 1 billion people received a combination vaccine annually, and the price per dose ranged between $30 and $50, the net profit per dose (after production costs) could be approximately $10 to $15. This means: An annual net profit of $10 to $15 billion could be achievable for Novavax. Impact on Stock Price: With an annual profit of, say, $15 billion and approximately 130 million outstanding shares, the earnings per share (EPS) would be around $115. Based on typical price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios: At a P/E of 10, the share price could be around $1,150 At a P/E of 20, it could reach over $2,300 Conclusion: If Novavax were to monopolize the vaccine market, the stock could theoretically exceed $1,000 per share. This assumes no major government price controls and no fast-moving competitors entering the space.
If mRNA vaccines (such as those from Pfizer and Moderna) were banned, and only Novavax remained with its COVID and combination vaccine (COVID + flu), the market landscape would change dramatically. Market Situation: The global population is around 8 billion. Even if only 1 billion people received a combination vaccine annually, and the price per dose ranged between $30 and $50, the net profit per dose (after production costs) could be approximately $10 to $15. This means: An annual net profit of $10 to $15 billion could be achievable for Novavax. Impact on Stock Price: With an annual profit of, say, $15 billion and approximately 130 million outstanding shares, the earnings per share (EPS) would be around $115. Based on typical price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios: At a P/E of 10, the share price could be around $1,150 At a P/E of 20, it could reach over $2,300 Conclusion: If Novavax were to monopolize the vaccine market, the stock could theoretically exceed $1,000 per share. This assumes no major government price controls and no fast-moving competitors entering the space.
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