TUI Hauptforum WKN: TUAG50 ISIN: DE000TUAG505 Forum: Aktien User: BörseTrader

TUI knapp 10%. Du bist so lächerlich…!!! 😂😂👍

S.pinner, aber egal. Tullow Oil heute 10%, was willst du mir hier erzählen?!? 😂🤷🏿‍♂️🤌🏿💩🥲😎😎😎

Naja, wenn man in einer Traumwelt lebt, übersieht man einiges. Die Verluste bei den meisten im Depot sind aber real und werden es bleiben... Lange noch nach den Zahlen vom Dezember 23 und 24 auch noch....

Wie oft gesagt und geschrieben, einfach entspannt bleiben…! 😎

Wusste gar nicht das ich sowas geschrieben habe! Ist aber auch völlig Rille…! 🤠😘😎😎😎

Gladstone hat ja auch noch verringert :-)

Du wirst auch im Dezember keine zweistelligen Kurse sehen. Daran wird sich nichts ändern....😉

Lustig ist, wie du dein d.ummes Gelaber der letzten Monate versuchst zu relativieren…! 🤦🏻‍♂️💩🤢🤮🐸🍿😘😎😎😎

Ein Kursanstieg kommt zu früh, alles klar! 🤦🏼 Soll doch die „Attacke“ kommen und weiter?!? 🤔🤦🏻‍♂️😎😎😎

Eigentlich sind wir mit dem Kursanstieg eine Woche zu früh dran.... Noch ist Luft für eine Short-Attacke.

nach meinen Unterlagen zum 14.11 Leerverkäufer von 11.11 % auf 10.95 % gesunken ,naja nicht so einfach bei steigenden Kurs glatt zu stellen bei 50 Millionen Aktien ...

Ne, ich glaube, die lachen sich immer noch den Ast ab so nah am Ausgabekurs der neuen Aktien. Das ist Gekacker im 1- Euro - Shop 😅

Ja, die Shorty‘s haben keine Zeit um dummes Zeug zu schreiben. Die sitzen am Taschenrechner und sind beschäftigt.📈

Schön ruhig hier geworden…! 😎

Seeking Alpha heute Teil 3: Valuation And Conclusion So, all in all, there are strong results that have to be weighed against significant risk factors when valuing the stock. Currently, there are little over 507 million shares outstanding. I do not expect any buybacks in the near future due to the company's significant indebtedness. But at least the need for additional capital injections should by now be met, barring unexpected events. So, revenue roughly on par with pre-pandemic levels of €19 billion and profit margins at the lower end of or slightly below the pre-pandemic range would add up to earnings per share in the vicinity of €1 per share. While a figure of, say, €0.98 or €1.01 is more likely than exactly €1, I will still work with this number, as it makes calculations blissfully simple. Currently, the stock would trade at a forward PE multiple of whatever its current price in Euro is, based on the above assumptions. Presently (November 14th) at a multiple of 5.37. The next step, obviously, is to determine, what multiple would be fair. A PE multiple of 12 to 15 would be conservative based on pre-pandemic valuations. But in a post-pandemic world and under the impression of increased geo-political instability, I believe expectations should be adjusted downward on account of vulnerabilities having become all too visible. Also, the debt load remains much higher than it was prior to 2020 (and at higher interest rates, one might add), despite developing in the right direction. A PE multiple of 7.5 to 10 might be a more suitable target range. I like to be conservative in that regard, so I reckon that other investors may be targeting a little more generous multiples. In terms of a price target, that translates to a fair value, in my opinion, of €7.5 to €10. Given the relatively high-risk profile, I do not believe EPS of around €1 to be guaranteed. But even if 2024 profitability would clock in closer to what is likely to be FY2023 of €300 to €400 million (= €0.59 to €0.78 per share), the stock would at least not be overvalued by too much from my point of view, even at the lower range of what I see as a fair earnings multiple. On the contrary, anything less than a mid-level catastrophe appears to leave ample upside potential. However, the volatile geopolitical (and to some degree economical) environment makes such a catastrophe more likely than usual from my point of view. I thus believe that short-term volatility in a name such as TUI may be higher than usual in the coming weeks and months whenever there is news of events that may impact the sector. For those with a relatively high appetite for risk, the stock might already be an interesting opportunity. Personally, however, I intend to remain on the sidelines for the moment. Consequently, I rate TUI as a hold for now, but the stock is definitely not far off buy territory.