Strategy B WKN: 722713 ISIN: US5949724083 Kürzel: EOU Forum: Aktien User: WhiteRussian
Die 168 ist der häufigste Wendpunkt in der Fibonachi Folge, u. markiert den Wendepunkt unabhängig vom Bärenmarkt oder nicht. Das heißt aber nicht das der auch immer angelaufen wird, da auch die Supportzonen eine große Rolle spielen. Man betrachtet immer das Gesamtbild aus mehreren Indikatoren u. daraus ergibt sich für mich aktuell eher die Zielzone um die 90-93k$.
I keep reading a lot of nonsense about $BTC extended price weakness while what’s happening is very simple: a large crowd of institutional traders were long $BTC and short BTC treasury companies like $MSTR. This was a MATHEMATICAL ARBITRAGE. Now that the arbitrage isn’t there anymore, in order to close this trade and cash in the profits, the opposite flow is ongoing: sell $BTC and buy the likes of $MSTR. However since there were not enough shares of $MSTR to borrow and short and nobody wanted to take such a big outright risk of being squeezed, most of the $MSTR shorts were put in place using derivatives. Who do you think was taking the opposite side of all those levered ETF using derivatives and promising to track 2x, 3x or even 4x or $MSTR returns? Of course, $MSTR shorts. Since those contracts tend not to involve settlement of shares but only cash settlements, you will see little buying pressure on $MSTR as a result even if short positions are being closed. Till all these positions aren’t off, the market will remain heavy on the downside. However those betting on $MSTR being liquidated and going bust need to be careful because similar to what happened to GBTC years ago, if MSTR discount vs NAV starts to be significant then there will be another arbitrage opportunity, this time in the other direction. Those with open short positions on $MSTR by then will face a big risk of being steamrolled. Since most of the profits from exploiting the original arbitrage are going to traditional finance hedge funds, this has been effectively extracting liquidity from the crypto ecosystem impacting all assets beyond $BTC, especially altcoins that are the most sensitive to liquidity flows. If you want to know what happens next to $BTC, a good guide will be looking at what happened once the $GBTC premium normalised to zero after crashing to -40% in the aftermath of 3AC implosion I stand behind what I said when BTC was at 25k$, 50k$, 75k$ and beyond: till central banks money printing carries on, the nominal price of assets with scarcity of supply will be lifted higher in the long term. This is why I am long gold, silver and BTC. The most hilarious thing for me is seeing people who love BTC using arguments against gold that people who love gold use against BTC while both have objectively a very similar structure from an investment perspective (if you hold physical gold or if you have your BTC in a cold storage to be precise) Hope this posts helps many, especially those in the #CryptoMarket 🙏🏻 https://x.com/DarioCpx/status/1989173763037168063?t=wtrJHsPqj40UsB6EvR6MCQ&s=19
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